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Phase 2C: how much do application numbers move by the last day?

A day-by-day look at the 2025 Phase 2C exercise: what happened to each school's applicant count between the first day of registration and the last, computed from the recorded figures for every school that ran a Phase 2C in 2025.

Last reviewed against official sources: 30 July 2026

The direct answer

Across 179 schools in the 2025 Phase 2C exercise, the typical school gained about 11 to 11.9 more applicants from day 1 to day 2, then about 5 to 6.6 more from day 2 to the last day.

Median rise day 1 to day 2: +11. Mean rise: +11.9. Median rise day 2 to the last day: +5. Mean rise: +6.6. The day 2 to day 3 change ranged from -8 to +52 across the 179 schools.

+11

median day 1 to day 2 change (mean +11.9)

+5

median day 2 to last-day change (mean +6.6)

179

schools with a recorded day 1, day 2 and last-day count

The last-day rise is smaller, and it is not one-directional

The typical move from day 2 to the last day (median +5, mean +6.6) is smaller than the move from day 1 to day 2 (median +11, mean +11.9). Interest tends to build fastest early in the window and settle as registration closes.

It is also not a one-way climb everywhere. 12 of the 179 schools ended the last day with a lower count than they had on day 2. These are counts taken on each day of the window rather than a running total, so a school's figure can move in either direction. We do not set out why any particular school's count fell: MOE does not publish that, and we are not going to guess at it.

Schools that looked within reach on day 2 and finished oversubscribed

This is the case that matters most to a parent watching a number mid-exercise. 8 schools had an applicant count at or below their available Phase 2C places on day 2, and finished the registration window with more applicants than places.

  1. Raffles Girls' Primary School

    115 of 115 places taken on day 2, 143 applicants by the last day.

  2. St. Margaret's School (Primary)

    101 of 113 places taken on day 2, 125 applicants by the last day.

  3. Kheng Cheng School

    149 of 162 places taken on day 2, 173 applicants by the last day.

  4. Concord Primary School

    76 of 86 places taken on day 2, 96 applicants by the last day.

  5. Queenstown Primary School

    103 of 105 places taken on day 2, 115 applicants by the last day.

  6. Junyuan Primary School

    76 of 85 places taken on day 2, 91 applicants by the last day.

  7. Naval Base Primary School

    56 of 60 places taken on day 2, 64 applicants by the last day.

  8. Chongzheng Primary School

    110 of 125 places taken on day 2, 127 applicants by the last day.

A count at or under the number of places on day 2 does not mean a place is settled. Registration in Phase 2C runs to a fixed close, and the figure that matters is the one at that close, not partway through.

Every school, day by day (2025 Phase 2C)

All 179 schools that ran a Phase 2C in 2025, sorted alphabetically. Each school name links to its own ballot history page. The three figures are the applicant count on day 1, day 2 and the last day, and the figure under each school name is its 2025 Phase 2C vacancy.

What this does not tell you

MOE does not publish a daily applicant count for any phase, in any year, so there is no official day-by-day series to compare 2025 against. The figures above cover one exercise. How a school's numbers moved during 2025 registration is not a promise about how they will move in a future exercise, and a school that rose late in 2025 could just as easily rise early, or not at all, the next time it runs.

Common questions

Does the day 2 count predict the final result? +

Not reliably on its own. Across the 179 schools in the 2025 exercise, the typical move from day 2 to the last day was a rise of around 5 to 6.6 applicants, but the range ran from -8 to +52, and 12 schools ended the last day lower than day 2. A number worth watching early can still change by the close of registration.

Can a school's applicant count actually fall during registration? +

Yes. In the 2025 exercise it happened at 12 of 179 schools, with day 2 to last-day changes running from -8 to +52 across all 179. These are counts recorded on each day of the window rather than a running total. MOE does not publish why a school's count can fall, so this page does not offer a reason for it.

Should I decide based on a mid-exercise number? +

Treat it as a snapshot, not a forecast. The number that decides an outcome is the count MOE holds when registration closes, and that can differ from what the count looked like a day or two earlier, in either direction.

Where can I see a specific school's own history, not just 2025? +

Every school in the table below links to its own ballot history page, with results back across multiple years, not just the 2025 daily figures on this page.

Sources

Page copy last checked against official sources: 30 July 2026. The statistics above are computed from the stored figures rather than typed in, so they move if the underlying data is corrected.

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